1 in 8 voters say abortion is most essential to their vote: they’re Democratic, help Biden and wish abortion to be authorized
About 1 in 8 voters (12%) now say abortion is an important difficulty for his or her vote within the 2024 election, highlighting how the problem may encourage teams of voters who largely say abortion ought to be authorized in all or most instances have to be. KFF Well being Monitoring Ballot Outcomes.
The difficulty resonates with sure key teams of girls voters. Greater than 1 in 4 Black ladies voters (28%), and a couple of fifth of Democratic ladies (22%), ladies residing in states that ban abortion (19%), ladies voters planning to vote for President Biden vote (19%) %), and ladies of childbearing age (18-49) (17%) determine as pro-abortion voters.
Total, the vast majority of abortion voters imagine abortion ought to be authorized in all or most instances. It is a important shift from the elections previous the Supreme Courtroom's choice to overturn the regulation Roe v. Wadewhen pro-abortion voters have been largely those that recognized as pro-life.
About half (48%) of abortion voters on this election say they might vote for President Biden if the election have been held at present, almost double the share (26%) who say they might vote for former President Trump. This group says they voted for Biden over Trump in 2020 by an identical margin, though about 1 in 5 say they didn’t vote in that election.
On the similar time, 43% of Republicans total say abortion ought to be authorized in all or most instances, however few Republicans who need abortion to be authorized appear prepared to oppose their social gathering on the abortion difficulty. Nevertheless, in tight races, even small shifts can turn out to be essential. Republicans who say abortion ought to be unlawful usually tend to be abortion voters (14%, or 8% of all Republican voters) than those that say abortion ought to be authorized (4%, or 2% of all Republican voters).
Partisans largely depend on their very own social gathering and their very own social gathering's presumptive nominee relating to the problem of abortion. A larger share of impartial voters belief the Democratic Social gathering (38%) and President Biden (35%) than the Republican Social gathering (15%) and former President Trump (19%), though a major share of impartial voters say they don’t belief to have each events (39%) or candidates (31%) on this difficulty.
About half of voters say this yr's presidential election (51%), congressional elections (53%) and which social gathering controls their state legislature (55%) can have a “main affect” on the entry to abortion. The share who say it would have a big effect rises to not less than two-thirds amongst abortion voters and Democratic voters.
Majorities, together with most ladies of reproductive age, help insurance policies that defend entry to abortion and oppose insurance policies that might limit it
The ballot additionally gauges public help for particular abortion insurance policies, together with a nationwide 16-week abortion ban that media experiences say Trump is contemplating for his platform.
Many of the public (58%), together with most ladies beneath 50 (61%), oppose a nationwide 16-week abortion ban, though most Republicans (63%) would help it.
As for different coverage adjustments, the ballot exhibits that the general public — and most Democrats — are largely in favor of insurance policies that defend abortion entry. Examples embrace:
- Adults (86%) overwhelmingly say they help defending entry to abortion for sufferers experiencing pregnancy-related emergencies, resembling miscarriages. This contains giant majorities of Democrats, independents and Republicans.
- Two-thirds (66%) help guaranteeing a federal proper to abortion, together with three-quarters (76%) of girls beneath 50. A big majority of Democrats (86%) and independents (67%), and a major minority of Republicans. 43%) help such a assure.
- Many of the public opposes a number of insurance policies advocated by abortion opponents, resembling making it against the law for well being care suppliers to ship abortion drugs to sufferers in states the place abortion is banned (62% oppose) and insurance policies that enable clinics to obtain federal obtain funds, prohibits offering abortion drugs. abortions or referring sufferers to abortion suppliers (61% are opposed). A slim majority of Republicans help every of those insurance policies.
The general public's views on particular insurance policies seemingly replicate their broader views on abortion. When requested how they really feel about abortion, many of the public says it is a matter of particular person rights and freedoms (81%), a well being care difficulty (68%) and an ethical difficulty (62%). This contains not less than half of Democrats, independents and Republicans. Fewer see it as a spiritual difficulty (41%), though most Republicans (55%) do.
Different findings from the survey embrace:
- Former President Trump has taken credit score for the Supreme Courtroom's choice to overturn Roe v. Wade, because the three justices he appointed to the court docket joined that call. About two-thirds of voters (65%) say he had not less than some duty for the choice, together with half of Republican voters.
- On March 26, the Supreme Courtroom will hear arguments in a case that might affect entry to mifepristone, a drug used for abortion medication that may presently be prescribed and mailed to sufferers through telehealth. About two-thirds (64%) of the general public haven’t heard concerning the case.
- Within the wake of the Supreme Courtroom's choice to finish the constitutional proper to abortion, slightly below half (45%) of adults say they contemplate the appropriate to contraception to be “secure,” whereas one in 5 (21%) say it’s 'secure'. a threatened proper that’s prone to be destroyed,” and a 3rd (34%) say they’re uncertain whether or not the appropriate is threatened or secured. Amongst partisans, Democrats are the almost certainly to see the appropriate to contraception as threatened (38%).
The survey, designed and analyzed by public opinion researchers at KFF, was carried out on-line and by phone from February 20 to twenty-eight, 2024, amongst a nationally consultant pattern of 1,316 U.S. adults, together with 1,072 registered voters. The interviews passed off in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 3 proportion factors for the total pattern and 4 proportion factors for the pattern of registered voters. For outcomes primarily based on different subgroups, the margin of sampling error could also be bigger.